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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.75+3.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.48+2.92vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.25+2.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+0.26vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.62-2.37vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.50vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.90vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.80-1.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-1.73vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.25-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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2.63Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
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5.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.31University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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7.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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8.35San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Alexander | 14.7% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 9.6% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Annika Garrett | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 13.2% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Stephanie Houck | 32.9% | 25.9% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 5.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 8.0% |
| Erika Barth | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 9.8% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 21.7% | 21.2% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 16.9% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.