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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.75+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+1.34vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.25+4.39vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.80+1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.25-0.71vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.47vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.48-3.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-1.68vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.92-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
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4.28University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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4.34University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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8.39San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.28University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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5.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.8University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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7.32University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 33.7% | 23.4% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 13.0% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 13.2% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 19.0% | 46.9% |
| Erika Barth | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 10.3% |
| Annika Garrett | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 3.1% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 9.7% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 21.2% | 22.7% |
| Leah Ford | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.