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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.75+2.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.48+1.58vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.25+0.86vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.41vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.92vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.25-0.39vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
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4.14University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.2%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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5.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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7.61San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 33.5% | 24.0% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 10.5% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Annika Garrett | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 4.2% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 15.5% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Leah Ford | 6.8% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 9.3% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 5.2% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 17.3% | 51.7% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 26.9% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.