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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.48+3.80vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+2.30vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.25+2.47vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62-1.34vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.75-0.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.08vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.49vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.80-1.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-1.69vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.25-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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4.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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2.66Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
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4.21University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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5.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.31University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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8.36San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Hansen | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 13.0% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Annika Garrett | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 4.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 31.8% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 14.3% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Leah Ford | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 7.9% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Erika Barth | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 10.3% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 23.3% | 20.5% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 17.5% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.