Race 5A

greg-popp-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joe Seiffert 13.5% 15.4% 15.6% 16.8% 15.8% 10.9% 6.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Nate Bonham 26.1% 23.4% 20.7% 14.8% 8.6% 4.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Julian Larsen 5.2% 6.7% 6.8% 8.2% 11.8% 15.4% 16.6% 13.2% 9.3% 4.8% 1.8%
William Meade 2.9% 3.4% 3.6% 5.2% 7.2% 9.8% 13.4% 15.2% 16.9% 15.2% 7.3%
Nathan Hjort 2.1% 3.9% 3.9% 6.3% 8.0% 10.7% 14.1% 16.2% 16.4% 12.8% 5.5%
Rylie Cataldo 1.9% 1.8% 2.8% 3.4% 4.6% 6.5% 11.0% 12.9% 15.2% 25.0% 14.8%
Jakob Barski 4.9% 5.6% 7.6% 8.6% 11.6% 14.3% 13.7% 14.9% 11.9% 5.5% 1.5%
Shay Bridge 16.2% 16.6% 16.9% 15.6% 14.0% 10.2% 6.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Josh Rosen 2.1% 2.5% 3.5% 3.6% 5.8% 8.8% 10.4% 13.7% 18.4% 20.4% 10.8%
Darby Smith 24.6% 20.1% 18.0% 16.0% 10.4% 6.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicolas Benavides 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 2.3% 2.5% 3.5% 5.9% 8.9% 15.4% 58.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.