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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.81+3.79vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+2.16vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.02+3.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.71+0.92vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.10-0.91vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-2.33vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.70-1.92vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.94-1.44vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.60-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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4.16College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.51Old Dominion University2.020.0%1st Place
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4.92U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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4.09Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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3.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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5.08University of South Florida2.700.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Wisconsin1.940.1%1st Place
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5.24Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Burke | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 6.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 13.5% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Arianna Baker | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 19.8% | 27.6% |
| Killian Corbishley | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% |
| Genoa Warner | 16.5% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 20.1% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Hillary Noble | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.4% |
| Mary Cummins | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 30.1% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.