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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.53vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.28vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.75+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-1.09vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.43vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.25+0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.25-3.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
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5.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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4.41University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.2%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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7.64San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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6.65University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 32.8% | 25.4% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 5.2% |
| Sarah Alexander | 13.9% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 15.2% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Leah Ford | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 8.8% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 20.4% | 50.6% |
| Annika Garrett | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 6.1% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 24.4% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.