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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.52vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.75+1.02vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.03vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.25-0.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+0.70vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.48-2.49vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.40vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.25-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
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4.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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5.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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5.6University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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7.59San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 33.7% | 25.1% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 10.4% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Alexander | 14.7% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 5.2% |
| Annika Garrett | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 26.6% | 22.3% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Leah Ford | 7.2% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 10.5% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 19.5% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.