← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.62+1.65vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii1.25+3.41vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley1.48+1.92vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California1.75+0.26vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego0.80+1.29vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-1.72vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.53vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.92vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-1.72vs Predicted
-
10San Diego State University-0.25-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.65Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
-
5.41University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
-
4.92University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
-
4.26University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
-
6.29University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
-
4.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
-
5.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
6.08University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
-
7.28University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
-
8.36San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 34.0% | 24.3% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Annika Garrett | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 3.9% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Alexander | 11.9% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Erika Barth | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 10.1% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 13.5% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 8.3% |
| Keelin Davis | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 21.9% | 21.5% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 17.2% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.