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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.75+3.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+2.29vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+4.35vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.25+1.36vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.62-2.38vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.80-0.61vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.97vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-3.47vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.25-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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4.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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7.35University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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5.36University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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2.62Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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6.39University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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5.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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8.34San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Alexander | 14.0% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 12.9% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 22.1% | 23.5% |
| Annika Garrett | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 33.0% | 25.3% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Erika Barth | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 9.8% |
| Leah Ford | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 7.5% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 18.4% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.