← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.41vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.22+0.69vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.97vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California1.27+0.04vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-0.81vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii0.87-1.24vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-0.51vs Predicted
-
8San Diego State University-0.87-0.50vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
-
2.69Stanford University2.220.3%1st Place
-
3.97University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
-
4.04University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
-
4.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
-
4.76University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
-
6.49University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
-
7.5San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
7.95University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kraus | 19.8% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Sole | 29.4% | 24.0% | 18.7% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 13.1% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Diya Correa | 12.3% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 11.2% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.6% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 6.5% | 0.8% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 27.5% | 24.2% | 10.8% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 33.4% | 33.8% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 10.4% | 24.6% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.