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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.38vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.22+0.71vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.87+1.85vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.36-0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.27-0.99vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+0.41vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.87+0.51vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-3.71vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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2.71Stanford University2.220.3%1st Place
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4.85University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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3.88University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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6.41University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.51San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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4.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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7.94University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kraus | 19.5% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 27.5% | 26.1% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 13.5% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Diya Correa | 12.9% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 28.1% | 23.1% | 10.7% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 14.1% | 34.9% | 32.5% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 13.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 16.5% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 9.8% | 24.7% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.