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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.22+1.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.36+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.44vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+2.37vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.27-1.91vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.87-2.18vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.87-0.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Stanford University2.220.3%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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3.44University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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4.09University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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7.47San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Sole | 32.5% | 23.5% | 18.0% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 10.6% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Kraus | 18.7% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 25.8% | 22.3% | 11.3% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 11.1% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Diya Correa | 12.1% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 14.2% | 32.8% | 33.5% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 10.4% | 24.9% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.