← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.22+1.60vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.36+2.12vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.43vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii0.87+0.71vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-0.83vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California1.27-1.91vs Predicted
-
7San Diego State University-0.87+0.52vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-1.58vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.6Stanford University2.220.3%1st Place
-
4.12University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
-
3.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
-
4.71University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
-
4.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
-
4.09University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
-
7.52San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
6.42University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
-
7.93University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Sole | 32.9% | 22.2% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 9.8% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Madeline Kraus | 19.2% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 10.8% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Diya Correa | 12.0% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 6.8% | 16.1% | 33.5% | 32.7% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 14.4% | 25.9% | 22.7% | 11.9% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 10.4% | 25.2% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.