Race 15B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Grace Lucas 16.5% 15.7% 15.5% 12.0% 12.5% 11.2% 8.8% 5.2% 2.6%
Arianna Baker 3.6% 3.7% 6.5% 6.4% 8.1% 9.8% 13.1% 19.8% 29.0%
Jennifer Proctor 18.6% 16.6% 16.2% 13.2% 11.1% 10.2% 7.3% 5.3% 1.5%
Mary Cummins 4.7% 5.1% 6.9% 7.5% 7.8% 10.6% 11.4% 17.9% 28.1%
Killian Corbishley 10.2% 13.7% 10.3% 12.2% 11.7% 9.2% 12.2% 12.0% 8.5%
Hillary Noble 10.5% 9.5% 10.3% 13.4% 12.3% 12.7% 12.7% 10.1% 8.5%
Lauren Burke 10.7% 11.6% 11.4% 11.6% 12.0% 13.6% 13.3% 9.8% 6.0%
Lara Dallman-Weiss 9.9% 9.2% 9.2% 10.6% 11.6% 11.8% 11.9% 13.7% 12.1%
Genoa Warner 15.3% 14.9% 13.7% 13.1% 12.9% 10.9% 9.3% 6.2% 3.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.