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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology-1.26+6.45vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+1.12vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.17-0.30vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University-1.54+4.14vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida-0.46+1.06vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.61+0.17vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.48-3.05vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.58-4.29vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-1.79vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.51-2.27vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-2.68-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Florida Institute of Technology-1.262.3%1st Place
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3.12Jacksonville University0.9421.4%1st Place
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2.7Jacksonville University1.1729.0%1st Place
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8.14Embry-Riddle University-1.541.9%1st Place
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6.06University of Central Florida-0.464.2%1st Place
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6.17Unknown School-0.614.0%1st Place
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3.95Jacksonville University0.4814.5%1st Place
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3.71Rollins College0.5816.2%1st Place
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7.21Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.113.1%1st Place
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7.73Embry-Riddle University-1.512.5%1st Place
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9.75University of Central Florida-2.680.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Meade | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 7.5% |
| Darby Smith | 21.4% | 21.5% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nate Bonham | 29.0% | 24.5% | 18.8% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 23.8% | 14.6% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Jakob Barski | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Joe Seiffert | 14.5% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 16.2% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 6.0% |
| Josh Rosen | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 11.3% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 15.9% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.