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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.22+1.69vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.36+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96-0.99vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.87-0.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+0.52vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-3.42vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.87-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Stanford University2.220.3%1st Place
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4.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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4.17University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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4.85University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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6.52University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.58University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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7.57San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Sole | 29.1% | 25.2% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 12.1% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 19.6% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Grace Yakutis | 22.9% | 21.8% | 19.8% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 1.7% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 31.0% | 22.5% | 11.1% |
| Madeline Kraus | 15.3% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 13.9% | 34.7% | 33.7% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 10.0% | 25.1% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.