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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.96+0.86vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.38+0.61vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36-1.45vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-2.08vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25+0.68vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.03-0.72vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.87-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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2.86University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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3.61Stanford University1.380.2%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.55University of California at Berkeley1.360.2%1st Place
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3.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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7.28University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.1San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kraus | 22.3% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 24.6% | 23.9% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Camille White | 15.3% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 24.1% | 22.2% | 14.4% | 6.1% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 16.5% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 13.2% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 16.4% | 25.9% | 41.2% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 10.6% | 20.6% | 26.0% | 29.6% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 11.8% | 22.6% | 28.4% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.