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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.36+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.57vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+1.34vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.38-0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.87-0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.96-3.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-0.55vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.87-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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3.57University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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4.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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3.78Stanford University1.380.2%1st Place
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4.67University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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2.85University of Southern California1.960.3%1st Place
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6.45University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.5San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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7.94University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Dorsay | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Kraus | 15.5% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 11.3% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Camille White | 16.2% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Hayden Lahr | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Grace Yakutis | 27.0% | 21.9% | 20.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 27.1% | 24.2% | 10.5% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 14.2% | 33.6% | 33.5% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 24.5% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.