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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ben Spector 24.9% 21.5% 16.2% 15.1% 10.4% 6.9% 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Jones 13.1% 13.4% 14.8% 14.3% 13.2% 10.1% 9.6% 6.2% 4.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Alexander Sachs 7.2% 7.4% 8.7% 8.2% 11.2% 13.2% 12.4% 15.2% 10.8% 4.6% 1.1%
Robert Savoie 6.9% 8.2% 8.8% 9.5% 12.4% 12.4% 12.5% 13.6% 10.3% 4.4% 1.0%
Emily Maxwell 18.5% 14.3% 13.7% 16.2% 11.1% 9.6% 8.2% 5.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Andrew Kurzrok 7.7% 9.7% 9.4% 9.6% 10.3% 12.2% 14.6% 11.7% 9.0% 4.9% 0.9%
Harrison Cabiness 5.4% 6.1% 7.5% 7.4% 9.2% 10.5% 12.1% 15.0% 15.1% 8.8% 2.9%
Timothy Lorenzen 2.2% 2.4% 2.9% 3.3% 4.2% 7.0% 8.3% 10.9% 18.8% 22.5% 17.5%
Matthew Schon 12.3% 14.3% 14.8% 11.9% 12.2% 11.4% 11.5% 6.2% 3.4% 1.3% 0.7%
William McIvor 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 2.3% 3.3% 2.6% 4.5% 7.6% 12.4% 23.7% 40.1%
Alex Lubben 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 4.1% 3.6% 6.4% 13.8% 27.6% 35.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.