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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+2.08vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.28+2.34vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.73+2.80vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.78+1.68vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.50-1.05vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.77-0.46vs Predicted
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7Clemson University2.34-0.61vs Predicted
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8Williams College1.47+0.24vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.31-4.56vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College0.85-0.69vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.84-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08College of Charleston3.950.2%1st Place
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4.34University of South Florida3.280.1%1st Place
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5.8Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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5.68Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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3.95Boston College3.500.2%1st Place
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5.54Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.39Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.24Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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4.44Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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9.31Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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9.23Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 24.9% | 21.5% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Jones | 13.1% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Robert Savoie | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 18.5% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 18.8% | 22.5% | 17.5% |
| Matthew Schon | 12.3% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| William McIvor | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 23.7% | 40.1% |
| Alex Lubben | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 13.8% | 27.6% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.