Race 1B

greg-popp-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Thomas Pappas 20.3% 18.4% 16.2% 13.9% 11.3% 8.0% 6.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Dawson Kohl 13.2% 15.3% 13.8% 13.7% 12.8% 11.8% 8.5% 6.0% 3.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Parker Thran 19.6% 17.8% 16.8% 14.7% 11.4% 8.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Zechariah Frantz 6.0% 5.8% 7.1% 9.2% 9.3% 10.1% 10.8% 14.0% 13.5% 10.1% 4.2%
Suhas Medidi 3.2% 4.3% 4.2% 5.5% 7.0% 7.6% 11.5% 14.5% 16.9% 16.0% 9.2%
Mason Mattice 14.1% 13.4% 13.5% 13.9% 12.3% 11.4% 10.0% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Daniel Borras-Quintero 3.4% 3.9% 4.5% 5.7% 7.5% 8.2% 10.3% 13.0% 17.4% 15.3% 10.6%
Jack Adderley 9.2% 10.2% 11.2% 9.3% 10.8% 12.0% 12.0% 10.5% 9.2% 4.2% 1.4%
Charlie Eckert 7.6% 6.5% 8.4% 8.6% 11.0% 12.4% 13.8% 12.6% 10.5% 6.4% 2.1%
Ryan Sarsen 2.1% 2.5% 2.4% 3.0% 3.7% 5.8% 6.0% 9.3% 12.2% 23.4% 29.8%
Adrien Barnes 1.4% 1.9% 2.0% 2.4% 2.8% 3.9% 4.3% 7.4% 10.6% 21.2% 42.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.