Race 2B

greg-popp-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Thomas Pappas 18.8% 19.2% 15.7% 14.9% 11.4% 9.3% 5.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Mason Mattice 13.2% 15.1% 14.1% 14.8% 12.7% 9.2% 9.6% 6.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.2%
Parker Thran 19.3% 16.7% 16.1% 14.1% 12.7% 9.3% 6.2% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Dawson Kohl 13.4% 14.1% 14.6% 12.2% 14.3% 12.0% 8.9% 6.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Charlie Eckert 8.2% 8.2% 7.3% 8.7% 11.1% 11.6% 13.0% 13.7% 10.7% 5.3% 2.2%
Jack Adderley 10.0% 9.4% 11.7% 12.1% 11.9% 10.7% 11.5% 10.2% 7.7% 3.9% 0.9%
Zechariah Frantz 5.9% 6.6% 6.9% 7.4% 8.6% 11.2% 13.1% 14.4% 13.2% 8.8% 4.0%
Suhas Medidi 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.9% 6.2% 9.6% 10.6% 14.1% 16.0% 15.2% 10.4%
Daniel Borras-Quintero 4.8% 3.2% 5.1% 4.8% 5.8% 7.7% 9.6% 13.4% 17.4% 18.6% 9.8%
Adrien Barnes 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 4.3% 5.0% 7.4% 11.5% 20.6% 42.2%
Ryan Sarsen 1.9% 1.6% 2.3% 3.2% 3.1% 5.1% 7.4% 7.9% 13.1% 24.4% 29.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.