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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+2.09vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.31+2.31vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.50+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.28+0.51vs Predicted
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5Clemson University2.34+1.52vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.73-0.35vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.77-1.61vs Predicted
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8Williams College1.47+0.24vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.78-3.39vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College0.85-0.71vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.84-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09College of Charleston3.950.3%1st Place
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4.31Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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4.13Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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4.51University of South Florida3.280.1%1st Place
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6.52Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.65Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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5.39Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.24Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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5.61Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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9.29Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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9.26Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 25.5% | 20.8% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 14.5% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emily Maxwell | 14.4% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Jones | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 2.7% |
| Alexander Sachs | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 21.3% | 17.6% |
| Robert Savoie | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| William McIvor | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 23.9% | 39.9% |
| Alex Lubben | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 14.3% | 26.8% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.