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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.28+3.48vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.95+1.02vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.50+1.11vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.31+0.48vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.73+0.62vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.85+3.37vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.78-1.63vs Predicted
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8Williams College1.47+0.18vs Predicted
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9Clemson University2.34-2.39vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.77-4.55vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.84-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48University of South Florida3.280.1%1st Place
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3.02College of Charleston3.950.3%1st Place
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4.11Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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4.48Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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5.62Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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9.37Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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5.37Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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8.18Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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6.61Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.45Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.3Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Jones | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Spector | 26.6% | 21.0% | 18.3% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 14.9% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Sachs | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| William McIvor | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 24.7% | 40.1% |
| Robert Savoie | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 20.7% | 16.4% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Alex Lubben | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 27.8% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.