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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ben Spector 24.3% 21.5% 16.7% 13.9% 11.6% 6.5% 3.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Jones 12.5% 14.0% 13.0% 14.3% 14.2% 11.1% 8.6% 6.8% 4.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Alexander Sachs 7.4% 6.7% 8.3% 8.9% 12.0% 13.0% 11.8% 13.8% 12.9% 4.2% 1.0%
Andrew Kurzrok 6.9% 8.6% 7.9% 10.3% 9.9% 13.1% 14.5% 14.1% 8.8% 4.5% 1.4%
Matthew Schon 14.4% 14.5% 12.4% 14.8% 11.6% 10.8% 10.2% 5.9% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2%
William McIvor 0.8% 0.9% 1.7% 2.1% 2.6% 3.3% 4.1% 6.4% 12.5% 26.5% 39.1%
Robert Savoie 8.9% 8.6% 11.1% 9.7% 11.8% 12.4% 13.2% 12.9% 7.6% 2.8% 1.0%
Emily Maxwell 16.7% 16.7% 17.5% 12.0% 11.6% 10.1% 7.8% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Harrison Cabiness 4.9% 5.3% 6.3% 8.1% 7.7% 10.8% 13.5% 14.6% 15.7% 9.6% 3.5%
Timothy Lorenzen 2.4% 2.1% 3.4% 3.3% 4.9% 5.8% 8.2% 11.4% 18.9% 23.9% 15.7%
Alex Lubben 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 2.1% 3.1% 4.9% 6.8% 13.2% 25.7% 38.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.