← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.95+2.12vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida3.28+2.40vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.73+2.81vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.77+1.71vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University3.31-0.69vs Predicted
-
6Hamilton College0.85+3.36vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College2.78-1.65vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.50-4.13vs Predicted
-
9Clemson University2.34-2.43vs Predicted
-
10Williams College1.47-1.80vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University0.84-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.12College of Charleston3.950.2%1st Place
-
4.4University of South Florida3.280.1%1st Place
-
5.81Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
-
5.71Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
4.31Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
-
9.36Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
-
5.35Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
-
3.87Boston College3.500.2%1st Place
-
6.57Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.2Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
-
9.3Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 24.3% | 21.5% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Jones | 12.5% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Schon | 14.4% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| William McIvor | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 12.5% | 26.5% | 39.1% |
| Robert Savoie | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 16.7% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 23.9% | 15.7% |
| Alex Lubben | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 13.2% | 25.7% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.