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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Dawson Kohl 14.8% 15.6% 15.9% 14.3% 12.6% 10.7% 7.3% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Thomas Pappas 19.5% 17.6% 17.1% 14.0% 11.8% 9.0% 6.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Ryan Sarsen 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 3.0% 3.6% 5.1% 6.5% 8.6% 12.0% 24.4% 30.5%
Parker Thran 20.6% 18.1% 16.3% 14.8% 11.9% 8.3% 5.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Mason Mattice 15.1% 14.6% 14.1% 15.0% 11.8% 11.8% 9.0% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Charlie Eckert 7.8% 8.3% 9.9% 8.8% 12.2% 12.0% 11.6% 12.2% 9.7% 5.8% 1.6%
Suhas Medidi 2.9% 4.9% 4.7% 6.5% 7.0% 8.5% 11.6% 13.1% 17.2% 15.0% 8.7%
Zechariah Frantz 6.6% 5.9% 6.7% 8.7% 10.1% 11.2% 12.3% 14.3% 12.0% 8.3% 3.9%
Matthew Sexton 5.2% 7.1% 6.5% 7.0% 10.0% 11.3% 12.6% 14.8% 12.2% 9.3% 3.9%
Daniel Borras-Quintero 4.0% 4.2% 5.0% 5.5% 6.2% 8.6% 10.4% 13.2% 18.4% 14.9% 9.6%
Adrien Barnes 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 2.2% 2.9% 3.6% 7.2% 7.4% 10.8% 19.7% 41.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.