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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.03+0.73vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.00+0.75vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.53+2.39vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.37-0.50vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.16-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.44-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73University of Michigan2.030.5%1st Place
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2.75Northwestern University1.000.2%1st Place
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5.39Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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3.5University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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3.44University of Wisconsin0.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 53.9% | 27.5% | 12.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 19.1% | 27.4% | 24.8% | 18.4% | 8.5% | 1.8% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 15.1% | 70.0% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 9.6% | 15.6% | 22.9% | 24.5% | 21.9% | 5.5% |
| Clara Brown | 4.9% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 33.9% | 17.0% |
| Cailin Considine | 10.5% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 26.9% | 19.1% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.