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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.03+0.72vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.00+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.37+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.16+0.16vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.53+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.44-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72University of Michigan2.030.5%1st Place
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2.73Northwestern University1.000.2%1st Place
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3.49University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
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4.16University of Minnesota-0.160.1%1st Place
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5.49Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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3.42University of Wisconsin0.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 53.6% | 28.0% | 13.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 19.4% | 27.7% | 25.7% | 17.0% | 8.4% | 1.8% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 10.2% | 15.5% | 21.8% | 25.7% | 21.6% | 5.2% |
| Clara Brown | 5.0% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 22.6% | 34.9% | 14.2% |
| Eva Rossell | 0.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 12.9% | 74.4% |
| Cailin Considine | 11.0% | 16.6% | 21.0% | 26.5% | 20.5% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.