Race 5B

greg-popp-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Dawson Kohl 15.2% 14.8% 14.3% 14.1% 13.6% 10.9% 8.0% 5.3% 2.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Matthew Sexton 5.3% 6.7% 7.5% 7.8% 9.3% 11.5% 12.2% 14.0% 13.0% 9.3% 3.5%
Thomas Pappas 21.5% 18.5% 17.2% 14.5% 10.4% 9.2% 4.5% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Mason Mattice 15.2% 14.6% 15.7% 13.4% 13.8% 9.8% 7.6% 5.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Daniel Borras-Quintero 4.3% 3.8% 4.5% 6.5% 6.8% 8.9% 11.5% 12.7% 16.1% 16.4% 8.5%
Zechariah Frantz 5.3% 6.9% 6.4% 8.8% 8.5% 11.4% 15.2% 13.3% 11.7% 8.9% 3.5%
Suhas Medidi 3.8% 3.8% 5.1% 5.9% 6.2% 8.3% 11.8% 13.4% 18.3% 14.2% 9.3%
Charlie Eckert 7.0% 9.3% 8.2% 9.2% 12.2% 11.9% 12.3% 11.4% 10.2% 6.3% 1.8%
Parker Thran 18.9% 18.2% 16.0% 14.1% 13.1% 8.3% 5.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Ryan Sarsen 1.8% 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 3.2% 5.1% 6.2% 10.5% 11.9% 22.5% 31.9%
Adrien Barnes 1.6% 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 2.9% 4.5% 5.0% 7.6% 10.7% 19.6% 40.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.