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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+2.11vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.31+2.31vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.50+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.28+0.55vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.73+0.63vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.77-0.39vs Predicted
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7Clemson University2.34-0.62vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.78-2.56vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.85+0.34vs Predicted
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10Williams College1.47-1.79vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.84-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11College of Charleston3.950.2%1st Place
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4.31Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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4.13Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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4.55University of South Florida3.280.1%1st Place
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5.63Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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5.61Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.38Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.44Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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9.34Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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8.21Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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9.27Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 24.8% | 21.7% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 13.9% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emily Maxwell | 14.8% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Jones | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Sachs | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 2.5% |
| Robert Savoie | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| William McIvor | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 23.0% | 42.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 14.0% | 19.5% | 24.6% | 14.3% |
| Alex Lubben | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 24.8% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.