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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.00+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03-0.28vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.37+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.16+0.14vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.53+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.44-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Northwestern University1.000.2%1st Place
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1.72University of Michigan2.030.5%1st Place
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3.47University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Minnesota-0.160.1%1st Place
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5.5Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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3.42University of Wisconsin0.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine O'Donnell | 19.3% | 27.1% | 25.6% | 17.4% | 8.7% | 1.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 53.8% | 26.9% | 14.0% | 4.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 10.9% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 27.0% | 21.5% | 4.9% |
| Clara Brown | 5.4% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 36.6% | 13.9% |
| Eva Rossell | 0.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 12.2% | 74.6% |
| Cailin Considine | 10.0% | 17.7% | 21.6% | 25.7% | 20.5% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.