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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.44+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03-0.31vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.16+1.12vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.00-1.23vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.53+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.37-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Wisconsin0.440.1%1st Place
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1.69University of Michigan2.030.6%1st Place
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4.12University of Minnesota-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.77Northwestern University1.000.2%1st Place
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5.49Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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3.5University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cailin Considine | 11.2% | 17.0% | 21.7% | 25.0% | 18.6% | 6.5% |
| Jenna Probst | 55.4% | 27.3% | 11.4% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Clara Brown | 6.3% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 22.3% | 35.6% | 13.4% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 16.5% | 28.7% | 25.8% | 19.9% | 8.1% | 1.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 0.9% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 13.7% | 73.1% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 9.7% | 15.9% | 23.5% | 22.2% | 22.8% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.