← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Notre Dame0.37+2.53vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University1.00+0.69vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan2.03-1.32vs Predicted
-
4University of Minnesota-0.16+0.11vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin0.44-1.49vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University-1.53-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.53University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
-
2.69Northwestern University1.000.2%1st Place
-
1.68University of Michigan2.030.6%1st Place
-
4.11University of Minnesota-0.160.1%1st Place
-
3.51University of Wisconsin0.440.1%1st Place
-
5.49Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Peluchiwski | 8.4% | 17.5% | 21.0% | 25.2% | 22.0% | 5.9% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 19.9% | 30.1% | 22.5% | 17.8% | 8.4% | 1.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 56.2% | 26.0% | 13.0% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Clara Brown | 6.0% | 8.1% | 15.2% | 22.7% | 35.5% | 12.5% |
| Cailin Considine | 8.4% | 16.2% | 24.8% | 23.8% | 20.0% | 6.8% |
| Eva Rossell | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 13.5% | 73.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.