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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.26+1.09vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.13+1.53vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.01-0.72vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.28-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.53-0.91vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-3.65-0.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09University of Wisconsin1.260.4%1st Place
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3.53University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
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2.28Northwestern University1.010.3%1st Place
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3.11University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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4.09University of Notre Dame-0.530.1%1st Place
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5.91Michigan State University-3.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Sullivan | 38.8% | 29.8% | 18.7% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Bailey Adkins | 8.7% | 15.4% | 19.6% | 28.5% | 26.6% | 1.2% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 31.5% | 28.6% | 23.8% | 12.6% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 15.9% | 16.5% | 24.3% | 27.4% | 15.4% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Kennedy | 5.0% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 20.8% | 48.3% | 3.5% |
| Sophia Militello | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 94.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.