← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.26+1.08vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University1.01+0.29vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota-0.13+0.56vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan0.28-0.89vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame-0.53-0.94vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University-3.65-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.08University of Wisconsin1.260.4%1st Place
-
2.29Northwestern University1.010.3%1st Place
-
3.56University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
-
3.11University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
-
4.06University of Notre Dame-0.530.1%1st Place
-
5.9Michigan State University-3.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Sullivan | 37.3% | 32.1% | 18.8% | 9.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 32.4% | 27.7% | 23.6% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Adkins | 10.1% | 12.5% | 19.2% | 28.7% | 28.6% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Youtt | 14.4% | 18.7% | 24.5% | 27.4% | 14.3% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Kennedy | 5.6% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 22.5% | 46.3% | 3.7% |
| Sophia Militello | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 94.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.