Race 6B

greg-popp-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Parker Thran 19.7% 19.1% 16.7% 14.9% 12.2% 7.8% 5.4% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Dawson Kohl 14.8% 14.0% 14.4% 16.8% 12.3% 10.0% 8.2% 5.5% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Charlie Eckert 7.6% 7.8% 8.8% 9.6% 10.7% 11.8% 13.8% 13.3% 9.5% 5.4% 1.8%
Thomas Pappas 20.8% 19.8% 16.7% 14.3% 11.8% 7.8% 5.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Mason Mattice 13.7% 13.6% 14.6% 13.7% 12.2% 11.6% 10.0% 5.8% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Zechariah Frantz 6.0% 6.1% 6.8% 7.2% 11.6% 12.2% 12.6% 13.8% 11.3% 9.6% 2.9%
Suhas Medidi 3.7% 4.5% 5.2% 4.9% 7.5% 8.0% 11.2% 13.3% 16.0% 16.0% 9.7%
Matthew Sexton 6.3% 6.7% 7.2% 7.3% 8.8% 11.3% 12.7% 14.0% 12.8% 9.3% 3.6%
Daniel Borras-Quintero 4.0% 4.2% 5.0% 6.6% 6.4% 10.1% 10.1% 13.6% 15.8% 15.7% 8.8%
Adrien Barnes 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 2.7% 3.4% 5.8% 7.6% 11.8% 19.4% 42.3%
Ryan Sarsen 1.9% 2.7% 2.5% 2.8% 3.8% 6.2% 5.0% 8.5% 14.4% 21.8% 30.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.