← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.95+2.08vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.50+1.91vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University3.31+1.52vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.77+1.70vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida3.28-0.60vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University2.34+0.55vs Predicted
-
7Williams College1.47+1.11vs Predicted
-
8Hamilton College0.85+1.30vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College2.78-3.39vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University0.84-0.70vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.73-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.08College of Charleston3.950.2%1st Place
-
3.91Boston College3.500.2%1st Place
-
4.52Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
-
5.7Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
4.4University of South Florida3.280.1%1st Place
-
6.55Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.11Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
-
9.3Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
-
5.61Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
-
9.3Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
-
5.51Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 24.5% | 22.9% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 16.0% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 11.8% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Jones | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 20.5% | 22.8% | 14.8% |
| William McIvor | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 26.0% | 37.6% |
| Robert Savoie | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Alex Lubben | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 25.7% | 38.9% |
| Alexander Sachs | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.