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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.01+1.34vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.26+0.02vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.28+0.09vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.13-0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.53-0.92vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-3.65-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Northwestern University1.010.3%1st Place
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2.02University of Wisconsin1.260.4%1st Place
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3.09University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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3.57University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Notre Dame-0.530.1%1st Place
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5.9Michigan State University-3.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Nemeth | 28.4% | 31.3% | 23.5% | 12.2% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Erin Sullivan | 42.5% | 27.5% | 18.9% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 14.4% | 18.6% | 25.2% | 27.7% | 13.6% | 0.5% |
| Bailey Adkins | 8.9% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 28.7% | 28.6% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Kennedy | 5.4% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 22.4% | 47.1% | 3.6% |
| Sophia Militello | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 94.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.