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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.01+1.34vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.26+0.03vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.53+0.98vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.13-0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.28-1.83vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-3.65-0.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Northwestern University1.010.3%1st Place
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2.03University of Wisconsin1.260.4%1st Place
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3.98University of Notre Dame-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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5.91Michigan State University-3.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Nemeth | 28.3% | 31.8% | 22.1% | 13.2% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Erin Sullivan | 41.8% | 28.7% | 17.2% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Kennedy | 7.4% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 24.0% | 45.4% | 2.0% |
| Bailey Adkins | 9.1% | 13.5% | 20.5% | 27.5% | 27.9% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Youtt | 13.0% | 18.2% | 26.0% | 25.1% | 16.6% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Militello | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 3.0% | 95.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.