← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
8.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+4.31vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+4.71vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+3.71vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.18+2.78vs Predicted
-
5Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+5.08vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.59+2.32vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50+1.40vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.63-4.52vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.29-4.71vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.82-7.04vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.78-7.76vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.36-10.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
-
6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
-
6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
-
6.78Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
-
10.08Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
-
8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.590.0%1st Place
-
8.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
-
5.48Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
-
6.29Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
-
4.96Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
-
5.24Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
-
3.73Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Wyatt | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Fiona McKellar | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| Charles Lindsay | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Carter Brock | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 47.8% |
| Noa Yoder | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 20.8% | 14.7% |
| David Morejon | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 17.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Donal Ryan | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 12.0% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Caleb Niles | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 20.4% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.