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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+5.80vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+4.75vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.59+5.29vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+2.73vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+0.28vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+3.09vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50+0.37vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.63-4.52vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.29-4.73vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.82-7.06vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.78-7.74vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.36-10.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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6.75Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.590.0%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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5.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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10.09Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
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5.48Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.27Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.94Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.26Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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3.74Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona McKellar | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| Carter Brock | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 3.7% |
| Noa Yoder | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 15.6% |
| Charles Lindsay | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 4.4% |
| Julia Wyatt | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 48.0% |
| David Morejon | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 17.1% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Donal Ryan | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Niles | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 20.5% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.