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📊 Prediction Accuracy
8.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+4.31vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+4.67vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+3.78vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50+4.57vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.59+3.29vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+4.11vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-1.44vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.63-4.54vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.29-4.72vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.82-7.01vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.78-7.74vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.36-10.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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6.78Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.590.0%1st Place
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10.11Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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5.46Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.28Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.99Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.26Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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3.73Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Wyatt | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Charles Lindsay | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.0% |
| Carter Brock | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% |
| David Morejon | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 19.8% | 16.6% |
| Noa Yoder | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 15.6% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 48.3% |
| Fiona McKellar | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 3.4% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Donal Ryan | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Caleb Niles | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 20.7% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.