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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.36+2.76vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.78+3.13vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.29+3.50vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+2.69vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.82+0.03vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+0.81vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-1.86vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+1.99vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.63-3.67vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-3.40vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.59-3.58vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
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5.13Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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6.5Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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6.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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5.03Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.81Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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5.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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9.99Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.33Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.590.0%1st Place
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8.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian van der Wal | 21.2% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Donal Ryan | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Charles Lindsay | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Carter Brock | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 47.9% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Fiona McKellar | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
| Noa Yoder | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 13.8% |
| David Morejon | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 20.9% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.