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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.36+2.75vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+4.63vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.78+2.15vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+1.22vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.82+0.02vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50+2.51vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.59+1.15vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.29-1.62vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+1.09vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-3.28vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-4.18vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.63-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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5.15Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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5.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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5.02Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.590.0%1st Place
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6.38Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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10.09Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.72Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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6.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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5.58Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian van der Wal | 18.7% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lindsay | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Julia Wyatt | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| David Morejon | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 21.1% | 15.8% |
| Noa Yoder | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 15.2% |
| Donal Ryan | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 46.1% |
| Carter Brock | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 4.7% |
| Fiona McKellar | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.