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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+5.77vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.23vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.82+2.05vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.78+1.12vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.36-1.27vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.29+0.52vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+2.96vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.59+0.16vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-2.39vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50-1.53vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-4.16vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.63-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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5.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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5.05Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.12Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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3.73Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
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6.52Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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9.96Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.590.0%1st Place
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6.61Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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8.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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5.55Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lindsay | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 4.6% |
| Julia Wyatt | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Caleb Niles | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 21.8% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Donal Ryan | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 47.1% |
| Noa Yoder | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 14.3% |
| Carter Brock | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| David Morejon | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 17.5% |
| Fiona McKellar | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 4.2% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.