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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+5.75vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+4.78vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+3.71vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.59+4.33vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-0.72vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50+0.56vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+0.94vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.63-4.51vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.29-4.72vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.82-7.05vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.78-7.80vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.36-10.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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6.78Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.590.0%1st Place
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5.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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8.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
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9.94Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.49Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.28Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.95Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.2Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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3.73Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lindsay | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Carter Brock | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
| Fiona McKellar | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 3.8% |
| Noa Yoder | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 15.3% |
| Julia Wyatt | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| David Morejon | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 18.7% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 46.3% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Donal Ryan | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Caleb Niles | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 20.4% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.