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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.23+2.20vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.97+0.12vs Predicted
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3American University-0.66+1.89vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.30+2.52vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.35+1.59vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.27+3.00vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.85+0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.13-1.79vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.97-0.85vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-4.62vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-2.27-2.13vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.86-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Drexel University0.2320.2%1st Place
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2.12Virginia Tech0.9741.5%1st Place
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4.89American University-0.668.3%1st Place
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6.52Princeton University-1.304.8%1st Place
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6.59University of Maryland-1.354.1%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Military Academy-2.271.7%1st Place
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7.06Catholic University of America-1.853.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Delaware-1.135.5%1st Place
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8.15Rutgers University-1.971.9%1st Place
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5.38University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.836.5%1st Place
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8.87St. John's College-2.271.4%1st Place
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10.0Monmouth University-2.861.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Gurskis | 20.2% | 23.4% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 41.5% | 28.4% | 16.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Lara Nielsen | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 20.4% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Anna Servidio | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 10.1% |
| Henry Powell | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Tyson Hammer | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 16.8% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 17.5% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.