← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.95+2.12vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida3.28+2.37vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.78+2.71vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.73+1.80vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.50-1.05vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.77-0.40vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University2.34-0.61vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University3.31-3.73vs Predicted
-
9Hamilton College0.85+0.36vs Predicted
-
10Williams College1.47-1.83vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University0.84-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.12College of Charleston3.950.2%1st Place
-
4.37University of South Florida3.280.1%1st Place
-
5.71Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
-
5.8Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
-
3.95Boston College3.500.2%1st Place
-
5.6Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
6.39Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
-
4.27Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
-
9.36Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
-
8.17Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
-
9.25Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 24.2% | 22.1% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Jones | 13.3% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Robert Savoie | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Emily Maxwell | 16.7% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Schon | 14.0% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| William McIvor | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 12.7% | 23.4% | 42.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 20.4% | 23.8% | 14.3% |
| Alex Lubben | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 25.3% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.