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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.72+8.20vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+5.05vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.42+3.48vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.80+4.59vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.89+3.24vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14+1.32vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.16+0.33vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-0.80vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.96+2.94vs Predicted
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10Hampton University2.26+1.04vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-5.09vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.26+2.55vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.83vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.25-3.47vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.52-1.58vs Predicted
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16Queen's University1.89-3.72vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook1.41-3.13vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.81-13.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.2George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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6.48Georgetown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.32Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.33Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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11.94Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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11.04Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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5.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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14.55Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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11.17SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.53University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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13.42Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.28Queen's University1.890.0%1st Place
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13.87SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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4.88Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Roberto Stevens | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Carrson Pearce | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Vir Menon | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Charles Miller | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Paul Hart | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 29.9% |
| John Lawless | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 17.6% |
| Scott Gittens | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 9.5% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 20.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.