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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.42+5.54vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+3.13vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.89+5.50vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+2.75vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.80+3.62vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14+1.37vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.14+4.25vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.16-0.78vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.72-0.08vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-2.50vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.96+1.09vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-6.01vs Predicted
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13Hampton University2.26-2.35vs Predicted
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14Queen's University1.89-2.11vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.26-0.68vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.52-2.39vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook1.41-3.01vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.25-7.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Georgetown University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.13Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.5Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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7.37Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.25SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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7.22Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.92George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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12.09Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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5.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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10.65Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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11.89Queen's University1.890.0%1st Place
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14.32Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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13.61Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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13.99SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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10.67University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Loftus | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.4% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Liam McCarthy | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| John Lawless | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Carrson Pearce | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Vir Menon | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 8.4% |
| Charles Miller | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Scott Gittens | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.6% |
| Paul Hart | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 26.7% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 19.5% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 23.8% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.