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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+1.18vs Predicted
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2American University-0.66+2.92vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.23+0.20vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.30+2.62vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.35+1.65vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.13-0.89vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.85-1.01vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.97-0.88vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.27-1.04vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-2.27-2.06vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.86-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Virginia Tech0.9741.3%1st Place
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4.92American University-0.669.0%1st Place
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3.2Drexel University0.2320.8%1st Place
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6.62Princeton University-1.303.5%1st Place
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6.65University of Maryland-1.353.9%1st Place
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5.29University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.836.7%1st Place
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6.11University of Delaware-1.135.1%1st Place
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6.99Catholic University of America-1.853.2%1st Place
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8.12Rutgers University-1.972.5%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Military Academy-2.271.7%1st Place
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8.94St. John's College-2.271.4%1st Place
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10.0Monmouth University-2.860.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 41.3% | 27.4% | 15.3% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 20.8% | 23.0% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Lara Nielsen | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Henry Powell | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Anna Servidio | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 10.1% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 18.4% |
| Tyson Hammer | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 20.2% | 18.8% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.