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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+2.10vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+1.90vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.73+2.83vs Predicted
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4Clemson University2.34+2.71vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.77+0.50vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.31-1.59vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College0.85+2.16vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.28-3.66vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.78-3.41vs Predicted
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10Williams College1.47-1.79vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.84-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1College of Charleston3.950.2%1st Place
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3.9Boston College3.500.2%1st Place
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5.83Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.71Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.5Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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4.41Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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9.16Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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4.34University of South Florida3.280.1%1st Place
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5.59Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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8.21Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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9.26Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 24.4% | 21.0% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 16.9% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 4.4% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Schon | 13.0% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| William McIvor | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 24.5% | 37.4% |
| Andrew Jones | 13.8% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 20.2% | 23.1% | 16.0% |
| Alex Lubben | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 25.0% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.