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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+3.49vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.82+5.21vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.05+6.90vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.12+1.96vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+0.14vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.81vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-1.27vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.16+1.23vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.76-1.85vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.31-1.02vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.20-1.66vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-1.03vs Predicted
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13Queen's University1.45-1.34vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.60+0.16vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.64+1.74vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.03vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.08-3.86vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute1.33-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Georgetown University3.690.2%1st Place
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7.21Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.9SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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5.14Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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5.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.23Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.15George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.98Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.34Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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10.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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11.66Queen's University1.450.0%1st Place
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14.16Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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16.74Columbia University-0.640.0%1st Place
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13.97SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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13.14Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.05Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 15.6% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 13.8% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 12.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Riley Legault | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Luke Welker | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| William Bruce | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 1.6% |
| Henry Proud | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 22.0% | 13.2% |
| Mateo Navarro Goldaraz | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 63.9% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 21.2% | 10.7% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 6.1% |
| Zane Tinnell | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.