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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.16+8.51vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.87vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.12+3.17vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.05+5.64vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.63+2.59vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39-0.84vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.69-2.73vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-2.89vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.20+0.13vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+0.88vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.31-2.04vs Predicted
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12Hampton University1.08+1.24vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-6.11vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.33-2.10vs Predicted
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15Queen's University1.45-3.18vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.64+0.72vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.79-3.04vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.60-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.51Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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5.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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9.64SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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7.59George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.16Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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4.27Georgetown University3.690.2%1st Place
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5.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.13Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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8.96Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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13.24Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.89Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.9Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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11.82Queen's University1.450.0%1st Place
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16.72Columbia University-0.640.0%1st Place
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13.96SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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14.16Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Snyder | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Feves | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 18.0% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Welker | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 5.9% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
| William Bruce | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Mateo Navarro Goldaraz | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 14.5% | 64.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 12.0% |
| Henry Proud | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.