Race 3A

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Zachary Bender 37.1% 27.1% 16.9% 9.8% 5.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Aidan Gurskis 17.7% 19.7% 17.5% 14.8% 12.8% 7.2% 5.5% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nadine Rouba 3.4% 3.1% 4.0% 6.1% 7.1% 8.8% 8.6% 10.4% 13.7% 13.2% 13.9% 7.6%
James Cottage 7.4% 10.0% 10.1% 12.5% 12.8% 12.1% 10.3% 9.8% 7.1% 5.1% 2.0% 0.9%
Anna Servidio 4.4% 5.8% 7.0% 7.5% 8.5% 9.7% 13.0% 11.5% 11.5% 11.6% 7.5% 2.1%
Silas Hodges 5.8% 6.9% 10.5% 9.8% 11.3% 11.4% 11.3% 10.6% 10.2% 7.4% 3.9% 1.1%
John Anthony Caraig 3.1% 3.4% 5.8% 5.2% 5.9% 9.0% 8.9% 10.2% 12.1% 16.0% 13.0% 7.4%
Anthony Thonnard 7.7% 10.1% 10.7% 12.0% 11.9% 12.2% 11.3% 8.9% 7.6% 5.0% 2.2% 0.3%
Henry Powell 6.6% 7.0% 8.3% 10.9% 11.2% 11.6% 11.6% 11.2% 9.4% 6.7% 4.2% 1.1%
Johnny Leadingham 4.4% 4.5% 6.1% 6.2% 7.3% 8.6% 9.7% 12.2% 12.6% 13.1% 10.5% 5.0%
Sarra Salah 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 3.2% 3.5% 5.0% 5.4% 7.6% 8.3% 13.2% 23.6% 25.1%
Cheyenne Fair 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 2.5% 2.1% 3.5% 4.3% 6.2% 8.3% 19.2% 49.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.