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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+2.08vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.73+3.64vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.78+2.73vs Predicted
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4Clemson University2.34+2.69vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.31-0.67vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.85+3.37vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.50-3.21vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.77-2.58vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.28-4.47vs Predicted
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10Williams College1.47-1.82vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.84-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08College of Charleston3.950.2%1st Place
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5.64Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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5.73Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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6.69Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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4.33Salve Regina University3.310.2%1st Place
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9.37Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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3.79Boston College3.500.2%1st Place
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5.42Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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4.53University of South Florida3.280.1%1st Place
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8.18Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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9.24Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 24.2% | 21.5% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Robert Savoie | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Matthew Schon | 15.6% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| William McIvor | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 26.2% | 40.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 17.3% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Jones | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 19.6% | 24.3% | 15.0% |
| Alex Lubben | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 14.2% | 24.6% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.