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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.57+1.14vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35-0.50vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.42+1.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-0.89+0.70vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.85-0.25vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Villanova University1.570.3%1st Place
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1.5Princeton University2.350.6%1st Place
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4.15Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.7U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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4.75Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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3.75SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Gillette | 27.4% | 42.8% | 20.7% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Connor Mraz | 61.0% | 29.4% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 3.8% | 7.6% | 19.0% | 26.2% | 26.0% | 17.4% |
| Jennifer Suter | 1.7% | 4.9% | 12.3% | 19.0% | 26.8% | 35.3% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.1% | 5.1% | 11.6% | 19.5% | 25.3% | 37.4% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 5.0% | 10.2% | 28.3% | 27.1% | 19.8% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.