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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+0.54vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.57+0.09vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.42+1.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-0.89+0.70vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-1.17vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.85-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Princeton University2.350.6%1st Place
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2.09Villanova University1.570.3%1st Place
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4.15Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.7U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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3.83SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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4.68Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 59.1% | 29.7% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Gillette | 28.6% | 42.8% | 21.4% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Abigail Proko | 4.0% | 7.4% | 18.7% | 26.7% | 25.8% | 17.4% |
| Jennifer Suter | 1.5% | 5.2% | 12.0% | 19.3% | 26.8% | 35.2% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 4.7% | 10.8% | 25.6% | 26.8% | 19.7% | 12.4% |
| Katherine Foley | 2.1% | 4.1% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 25.9% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.