← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Monmouth University-0.46+1.73vs Predicted
-
2Villanova University0.21-0.03vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University-1.51+1.04vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-1.87+0.48vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University-0.61-2.02vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Military Academy-2.12-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.73Monmouth University-0.460.2%1st Place
-
1.97Villanova University0.210.5%1st Place
-
4.04Princeton University-1.510.1%1st Place
-
4.48SUNY Stony Brook-1.870.0%1st Place
-
2.98Drexel University-0.610.2%1st Place
-
4.81U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Lane | 20.9% | 27.6% | 22.1% | 19.4% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
| Jameson Parker | 45.6% | 25.4% | 18.6% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| William Mandelbaum | 8.2% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 21.8% | 26.3% | 18.6% |
| Jan Ziembicki | 4.3% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 28.7% | 29.8% |
| Alison Reed | 17.6% | 23.4% | 23.5% | 19.3% | 10.9% | 5.3% |
| Chloe Headrick | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 24.5% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.