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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-0.66+4.63vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.97+0.47vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.23+0.82vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-2.27+6.13vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.69+0.69vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.30+1.72vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.85+1.35vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.59+0.58vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-0.86-2.45vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-3.67vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-1.07-3.87vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.86-0.68vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.13-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63American University-0.668.3%1st Place
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2.47Virginia Tech0.9734.9%1st Place
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3.82Drexel University0.2316.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Military Academy-2.271.3%1st Place
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5.69University of Maryland-0.698.2%1st Place
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7.72Princeton University-1.304.2%1st Place
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8.35Catholic University of America-1.852.8%1st Place
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8.58Rutgers University-1.592.1%1st Place
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6.55St. John's College-0.866.5%1st Place
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6.33University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.835.1%1st Place
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7.13Unknown School-1.074.9%1st Place
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11.32Monmouth University-2.860.9%1st Place
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7.28University of Delaware-1.134.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cottage | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Bender | 34.9% | 25.5% | 17.7% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 16.1% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 24.1% | 23.4% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 7.0% |
| Nadine Rouba | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 7.6% |
| Silas Hodges | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Henry Powell | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Owen Cabot | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 17.4% | 51.7% |
| Anna Servidio | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.