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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+2.10vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.31+2.32vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.50+1.13vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.73+1.81vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.28-0.57vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.77-0.41vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.78-1.65vs Predicted
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8Clemson University2.34-1.61vs Predicted
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9Williams College1.47-0.68vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College0.85-0.70vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.84-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1College of Charleston3.950.3%1st Place
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4.32Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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4.13Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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5.81Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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4.43University of South Florida3.280.1%1st Place
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5.59Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.35Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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6.39Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.32Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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9.3Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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9.25Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 25.3% | 21.5% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emily Maxwell | 14.4% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Jones | 14.1% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 6.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Robert Savoie | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 2.3% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 22.4% | 18.2% |
| William McIvor | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 24.3% | 39.6% |
| Alex Lubben | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 15.1% | 26.5% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.